Sunday, April 29, 2012

2012 bantam draft order

As I have done the last few years during the leadup to the WHL bantam draft (this year's version is 9 days away - next Thursday, May 3), I've once again tried to figure out which teams own which picks in the draft, and how they got those picks.

A friend has come through with some info which has helped me iron out the gaps in my data here and I believe this list is now as close to 100% accurate as I'm going to get it. So, here's the 2012 bantam draft order, with traded picks:

First Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
1 1 Seattle
1 2 Prince Albert
1 3 Prince George
1 4 Lethbridge
1 5 Swift Current
1 6 Red Deer
1 7 Everett
1 8 Victoria
1 9 Kelowna
1 10 Kootenay
1 11 Prince George Regina in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10, 2012
1 12 Brandon
1 13 Victoria Saskatoon via Brandon in Kevin Sundher deal, Jan 9, 2012 (BRN had acquired from SAS in Brayden Schenn deal, Jan 10, 2011)
1 14 Spokane
1 15 Vancouver
1 16 Medicine Hat
1 17 Calgary
1 18 Lethbridge Moose Jaw in Cam Braes deal, Jan 9, 2012
1 19 Kamloops
1 20 Seattle Portland for Marcel Noebels, Jan 10, 2012
1 21 Tri-City
1 22 Edmonton





I think this round is pretty straightforward. Not really any questions about these traded picks.

Second Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
2 23 Prince Albert
2 24 Prince George
2 25 Seattle
2 26 Portland Everett for signing of Everett G.M. Garry Davidson (rumored)
2 27 Victoria
2 28 Lethbridge
2 29 Swift Current
2 30 Red Deer
2 31 Regina Kelowna in Myles Bell deal, Sep 22, 2011
2 32 Kootenay
2 33 Moose Jaw Regina in Thomas Frazee deal, Sep 24, 2010
2 34 Saskatoon Brandon for Darian Dziurzynski, Oct 16, 2011
2 35 Saskatoon
2 36 Spokane
2 37 Vancouver
2 38 Medicine Hat
2 39 Calgary
2 40 Vancouver Moose Jaw in James Henry deal, Jan 10, 2012. 
2 41 Prince Albert Kamloops Herrod/McVeigh deal, Dec 31, 2011
2 42 Vancouver Portland in CraIg Cunningham deal, Dec 28, 2010
2 43 Prince George Tri-City via Regina in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10, 2012. (Pats had acquired in Carter Ashton deal, Dec 10, 2010)
2 44 Edmonton





Notes on this round's picks:

#26 - the WHL, Silvertips, and Winterhawks have never officially announced what Portland got from Everett for allowing the Silvertips to hire Davidson as their General Manager. Gregg Drinnan reported that a source told him it was two 2nd round picks, in 2012 and 2013, so I've gone with that here. But it's not official.


Third Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
3 45 Kelowna Prince Albert for Antoine Corbin, Nov 18, 2010
3 46 Tri-City Prince George in Owsley/Rimmer deal, Aug 4, 2011
3 47 Seattle
3 48 Red Deer Everett in the Ferraro/Froese deal, July 26, 2010
3 49 Victoria
3 50 Brandon Lethbridge in Anderson/Liston deal, Oct 16, 2011
3 51 Swift Current
3 52 Prince George Red Deer in Charles Inglis deal, Dec 29, 2011
3 53 Prince George Kelowna for Carter Rigby, Sep 3, 2011. 
3 54 Swift Current Kootenay in Cody Eakin deal, Jan 9, 2011.
3 55 Tri-City Regina in Carter Ashton deal, Dec 10, 2010
3 56 Saskatoon Brandon in Brayden Schenn deal, Jan 10, 2011
3 57 Prince George Saskatoon for 2011 Import Draft pick, June 29, 2011
3 58 Spokane
3 59 Everett Vancouver via Moose Jaw in Luke Siemens deal, Oct 3, 2011. (MJ had acquired from VAN in Rowinski deal, Nov 11, 2010)
3 60 Kootenay Medicine Hat for Brendan Hurley, Jan 10, 2012
3 61 Tri-City Calgary for Chris Driedger, Jul 20/2011
3 62 Moose Jaw
3 63 Regina Kamloops in Thomas Frazee deal, Dec 14, 2010
3 64 Portland
3 65 Tri-City
3 66 Everett Edmonton for Tyler Maxwell, Nov 24, 2011





Notes on this round's picks: none


Fourth Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
4 67 Prince Albert
4 68 Regina Prince George in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10, 2012
4 69 Red Deer Seattle for 2010 first round import pick (Dave Sutter), June 29, 2010
4 70 Everett
4 71 Victoria
4 72 Spokane Lethbridge for Matt Marantz, Sep 29, 2011
4 73 Swift Current
4 74 Red Deer
4 75 Kelowna
4 76 Kootenay
4 77 Kamloops Regina for Brandon Underwood, Jul 28, 2011
4 78 Brandon
4 79 Saskatoon
4 80 Spokane
4 81 Brandon Vancouver in Mackay/Bestland deal, Jan 5, 2011
4 82 Prince Albert Medicine Hat in Harrison/Fiddler deal, July 27, 2010
4 83 Calgary
4 84 Calgary Moose Jaw in Bowman/Kirsch deal, Oct 26, 2011
4 85 Kamloops
4 86 Portland
4 87 Lethbridge Tri-City for Derek Ryckman, Oc 16, 2011
4 88 Edmonton





Notes on this round: none

Fifth Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
5 89 Prince Albert
5 90 Moose Jaw Prince George via Vancouver for Tyler Vanscourt, Jan 9, 2012. (VAN had acquired from PG for Brandon Scholten, Sept 16, 2010.)
5 91 Seattle
5 92 Prince George Everett via Lethbridge in Jackson/Buonassisi deal, Oct 16, 2011. (LTH had acquired from EVT in Brennan Yadlowski deal, Oct 5, 2010.)
5 93 Victoria
5 94 Regina Lethbridge for Damien Ketlo, Sep 11, 2011
5 95 Swift Current
5 96 Red Deer
5 97 Saskatoon Kelowna in Gogol/Scissons deal, Jan 9, 2010
5 98 Kootenay
5 99 Prince Albert Regina for Colin Reddin, Sept 1/2010
5 100 Brandon
5 101 Saskatoon
5 102 Spokane
5 103 Lethbridge Vancouver for Mark Reners, Dec 9, 2010
5 104 Medicine Hat
5 105 Calgary
5 106 Moose Jaw
5 107 Edmonton Kamloops in Marek Hrbas deal, June 27, 2011
5 108 Portland
5 109 Regina Tri-City in Carter Ashton deal, Dec 10, 2010
5 110 Vancouver Edmonton for Mark Reners, Jan 8, 2011





Notes on this round: none


Sixth Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
6 111 Prince Albert
6 112 Brandon Prince George for Ty Rimmer, Oct 18, 2010
6 113 Lethbridge Seattle for Cason Machacek, Jul 21, 2011
6 114 Regina Everett via Prince George for Campell Elynuik, October 17, 2011 (Prince George had acquired from Everett for Parker Stanfield, Oct 7, 2010)
6 115 Victoria
6 116 Brandon Lethbridge in Anderson/Liston deal, Oct 16, 2011
6 117 Vancouver Swift Current for Levi Bews, Jan 9, 2012
6 118 Red Deer
6 119 Kelowna
6 120 Kootenay
6 121 Lethbridge Regina for 2010 first round import pick (Ricard Blidstrand), June 29, 2010
6 122 Brandon
6 123 Kamloops Saskatoon for Jake Trask, Oct 18, 2010
6 124 Kootenay Spokane swap of picks at 2011 bantam draft
6 125 Medicine Hat Vancouver for Tanner Sohn, Sept 16, 2010
6 126 Medicine Hat
6 127 Calgary
6 128 Everett Moose Jaw via Regina for Campell Elynuik, August 27, 2011 (Regina had acquired from Moose Jaw in Thomas Frazee deal, Sep 24, 2010)
6 129 Kamloops
6 130 Portland
6 131 Tri-City
6 132 Edmonton





Notes on this round: none

Seventh Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
7 133 Vancouver Prince Albert for RJ Reed, Oct 15, 2010
7 134 Regina Prince George in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10, 2012
7 135 Edmonton Seattle for Braden Larocque, Sep 29, 2011. 
7 136 Everett
7 137 Victoria
7 138 Lethbridge
7 139 Swift Current
7 140 Red Deer
7 141 Kelowna
7 142 Kootenay
7 143 Medicine Hat Regina for Trent Ouellette, Sept 24, 2010
7 144 Brandon
7 145 Red Deer Saskatoon Muller/Pufahl/Fafard deal, Dec 29, 2011
7 146 Spokane
7 147 Vancouver
7 148 Medicine Hat
7 149 Calgary
7 150 Moose Jaw
7 151 Kamloops
7 152 Portland
7 153 Tri-City
7 154 Edmonton

Notes on this round: none


Eighth Round:


Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
8 155 Prince Albert
8 156 Prince George
8 157 Seattle
8 158 Everett
8 159 Victoria
8 160 Spokane Lethbridge for a 2011 2nd round Import pick, June 29, 2011
8 161 Seattle Swift Current for Ryan Aasman, Oct 20, 2010
8 162 Red Deer
8 163 Tri-City Kelowna in Zak Stebner deal, Dec 8, 2010
8 164 Kootenay
8 165 Regina
8 166 Brandon
8 167 Prince George Saskatoon for a 2010 2nd round Import pick, June 29, 2010
8 168 Spokane
8 169 Vancouver
8 170 Medicine Hat
8 171 Calgary
8 172 Moose Jaw
8 173 Kamloops
8 174 Portland
8 175 Tri-City
8 176 Edmonton





Notes on this round: Swift Current owes Vancouver a 2012 8th round pick for Eric Walker. But, Seattle already has Swift's 8th round pick from the Ryan Aasman deal. So, I am not sure which pick Vancouver is getting for Walker or whether that pick will slide to 2013?


Ninth Round:



Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
9 177 Prince Albert
9 178 Prince George
9 179 Seattle
9 180 Everett
9 181 Victoria
9 182 Lethbridge
9 183 Swift Current
9 184 Red Deer
9 185 Kelowna
9 186 Kootenay
9 187 Regina
9 188 Brandon
9 189 Saskatoon
9 190 Prince Albert Spokane swap of picks at 2011 bantam draft
9 191 Vancouver
9 192 Medicine Hat
9 193 Calgary
9 194 Moose Jaw
9 195 Kamloops
9 196 Portland
9 197 Tri-City
9 198 Edmonton





Notes on this round: none


Tenth Round:



Rd Ovl Team From Trade Details
10 199 Prince Albert
10 200 Prince George
10 201 Seattle
10 202 Everett
10 203 Victoria
10 204 Lethbridge
10 205 Seattle Swift Current for Erik Fleming, October 25, 2011
10 206 Red Deer
10 207 Kelowna
10 208 Kootenay
10 209 Kamloops Regina swap of picks at 2011 bantam draft
10 210 Brandon
10 211 Moose Jaw Saskatoon swap of picks at 2010 bantam draft, Apr 29, 2010
10 212 Prince Albert Spokane swap of picks at 2011 bantam draft
10 213 Vancouver
10 214 Medicine Hat
10 215 Calgary
10 216 Moose Jaw
10 217 Kamloops
10 218 Portland
10 219 Tri-City
10 220 Edmonton





Notes on this round: none

Friday, April 27, 2012

Anyone got these stats?


The bantam draft is now only five days away and for the last few weeks, I've been doing my usual gathering of bantam/midget stats so I can post them here on the blog on Thursday.

There are some stats that I have been unable to come up with though and I'm hoping some readers of the blog might be able to help out - this blog gets thousands of hits on bantam draft day from fans looking for info on their teams' newly-drafted players so if anyone is able to help out with providing anything, you know there will be many many WHL fans who will appreciate as much as I do.

So, in the interest of having as much info as possible to post on draft day, here's a request to any readers of this blog who may have some of this info and may be able to share.


What I'm mostly missing:
B.C. AAA (and AA) bantam team stats. Have rosters for most PCAHA and OMAHA teams but only stats for a couple.
Greater Saskatoon League.
Anything from U.S. teams - California, Texas, Arizona, etc. I have the Tier 1 Elite league and I have Minnesota high school but not much else
Stats from SaskFirst bantam. Have the rosters, but no stats.
Rural Manitoba team stats - have the Winnipeg league stats but not much for rural team except Pembina Valley.


What I do have and don't need:
B.C. major midget AAA league
Alberta AAA midget league
Alberta bantam AAA (AMBHL)
Alberta minor midget AAA (AMMHL)
Calgary & Edmonton bantam & midget AA
South Central Alberta bantam & midget (SCAHL)
Saskatchewan bantam AA league (SBAAHL)
Saskatchewan midget AAA (SMAAAHL)
Manitoba major midget AAA (MMHL)
Winnipeg AAA bantam & city midget
Zone4, Westman, and Winnipeg high school leagues

Anything is welcome....from rosters (names, maybe ht/wt) to complete stats for players or teams.

If anyone has any of this stuff and would like to help out, you can shoot me an email at the address on the side of the page there. Even if all you know is a link to where something can be found, that's great too - I don't mind doing the work to collect them.

Thanks in advance to anyone who can help.

Monday, April 23, 2012

Monday notes

Big news out of the U.S. division this morning where the Everett Silvertips announced they have traded the negotiating rights to '94 defenceman Seth Jones to the Portland Winterhawks for a conditional 2013 draft pick.

Jones was Everett's first round pick, 11th overall, in the 2009 WHL bantam draft. Since then he has established himself as one of the top prospects for the 2013 NHL draft (he is a late birthdate so he's not eligible for the 2012 draft like most 1994-borns are) while playing for the U.S. National Team Development Program and keeping his options open between the WHL and the NCAA.

Jones said a short while back that he would make his decision between junior and college after the just-concluded World U-18 Championships, so his decision should be forthcoming pretty soon. I'm guessing that the reason for Everett making this trade (the only reason they WOULD trade a prospect like this) is that they have come to realize, for whatever reasons, that Jones is not going to report to them. So the trade of his rights is an attempt to get some value for an asset which is going to go to zero if he picks the NCAA over Everett.

Since the trade announcement specifies that it is Jones' "negotiating rights" that were traded, I assume that means not the rights to the player himself. In other words, Portland just gave up a pick in return for the ability to talk to Jones, nothing more. I assume there is an unannounced additional portion of the deal which states that Everett gets something else (a BIG something else) if Portland actually signs Jones. What that something else could be, is interesting to speculate on. A player of Jones' calibre is surely worth at least a first round bantam pick and probably more than one. Except that Portland does not have 2012 or 2013 first round bantam picks, having traded those to Seattle for Marcel Noebels back in January. So unless Everett is prepared to take 2014 (or even later) first round picks for Jones, then the deal probably has to involve lots of lower picks (2nd/3rd round kind of thing) and/or prospects/players off Portland's protected list.

For Portland, this would be a huge coup if they were able to sign Jones. Portland has become something of an NHL prospect factory in the last few years and being able to boast of another (probable) top five NHL pick in 2013 would only enhance their reputation when it comes to attracting more players down the road. And of course I haven't even mentioned the obvious on-ice benefits to them of having a guy like that. The only risk to Portland is the chance that Jones plays just one year in the WHL and then jumps to the NHL at 19 after being a high NHL pick. But it's still a worthwhile risk.

All in all it's been a good last 4 days for Portland. The Winterhawks went into Tri-Cities and swept the first two games of the WHL Western Conference final on Friday/Saturday, so they have a 2-0 lead coming home for games 3 & 4. The games were close (both decided in OT) but its the wins that count in the end and Portland got them.

In the East, goaltending has been the chief difference as the Edmonton Oil Kings won both the first two games on home ice over the Moose Jaw Warriors, by identical 6-1 scores. Through the first two games Edmonton goaltender Laurent Brossoit has a 1.00 GAA and an insane .975 save percentage. At the other end of the ice, Warriors starter Luke Siemens has a 5.54 GAA and .863 save percentage in the series. Not to say that the series is all Brossoit vs Siemens but clearly the Warriors need to find a way to beat Brossoit, and soon, or their season won't last much longer.

And one last note today, the 2012 Telus Cup - the Canadian AAA midget national championship - gets underway today in Leduc, Alberta. As always the western Canadian teams have an excellent chance to win the title and the western Canadian teams that make it this far always have a solid number of WHL prospects, many of whom will play in the WHL the next year.

This year there are three western Canadian teams at the Telus Cup - the Red Deer Rebels, champions of the B.C. & Alberta midget leagues; the Saskatoon Contacts, champions of the Saskatchewan and Manitoba midget leagues; and the Leduc Oil Kings, the host team.

If you're interested, you can follow the Telus Cup (with stats and live scores) here.

Friday, April 20, 2012

Third round predictions

A little strapped for time this morning, but with the WHL semi-finals getting underway tonight in Edmonton and Tri-Cities, I guess I need to get my predictions down.

I was 3-for-4 in the second round, missing out on the Moose Jaw win over Medicine Hat. That brings me up to  10-for-12 overall in picking the series winners this year. Let's try to make it 12-for-14 here:

Eastern Conference:
#1 Edmonton vs #2 Moose Jaw:
My pick: Edmonton in seven. I really underestimated Moose Jaw in the second round by picking them to lose to Medicine Hat. I won't underestimate them again - especially since they will get star defenceman/top NHL draft prospect Morgan Rielly back for this series after he missed almost all season with a reconstructed knee. But even so, I think they will fall just short against a very deep and talented Edmonton team. I can see Moose Jaw winning this one so I'm going with a seven game pick, but I like Edmonton just a little better and I'm not sure we have even seen the best of Edmonton so far these playoffs.


Western Conference:
#1 Tri-City vs #2 Portland:
My pick: Portland in six. I like Tri-City a lot, but I think Portland has a lot more depth and that's going to make the difference for them. Portland has to get consistent goaltending from Mac Carruth, as that is the one area where I think the Americans have a clear advantage over the Winterhawks. As long as Carruth can hold up his end of the bargain though, I like Portland more than Tri-City at both forward and defence positions.

I think both of these series should be excellent hockey to watch - in these four teams we have four of the top five overall teams in the regular season. Only #4 overall Kamloops is missing from the top five - and even then, Moose Jaw was only 1 point back of Kamloops for #4. Isn't this what you want to see in the semifinals?

Tuesday, April 17, 2012

You want excitement, we've got excitement

After an uninteresting first round and start to the second round (and lets face it, there wasn't much excitement in the two Eastern Conference 2nd round series), the Western Conference has revived fan interest in the WHL playoffs all by itself.

Last night's two games saw Kamloops and Spokane force game sevens, and they both did it in dramatic style. In Spokane, Liam Stewart scored in overtime to save the Chiefs' season and give them a chance to upset Tri-City - the conference regular season champion - in game seven. All three of Spokane's victories in the series have come in overtime. 

And then in Kamloops, the Blazers overcame a 5-2 deficit with 6 minutes gone in the third period by rattling off five goals in the last 14 minutes, including the game-winner with 21 seconds on the clock, to beat Portland 7-6. I cannot imagine what it must have been like to be at that game in the third period. 

Kamloops has now successfully come back from being down 3-0 in the series to tie the series at 3-3. Of course, that will all mean little if they don't win game seven tomorrow night in Portland. But if they do pull off game seven, they will join a select group of hockey teams to have pulled off the feat at the highest levels of the sport. Can they finish the job? Kamloops has all the momentum in this series now, and the pressure on the Portland players not to be remembered forever as a team that blew a 3-0 series lead must be incredible. But game seven is in Portland, so the Hawks at least have home ice and the boost that could give them. The coaching staff just needs to get the players focused on one game. Forget the last six games, that's over....it's one game for a spot in the semifinals.

On that note, I believe the semifinals will start on Friday, which means the winners of the two game sevens in the West will have only one off-day before they get back to the grind. And we don't even know where game one of that series will be - if Tri-City beats Spokane, then it's in Tri-City. If Spokane wins, it will be in either Portland or Kamloops, whoever wins their game. So there's three options yet.

And one last, very cool, note about Kamloops coming back from down 3-0: the exact same thing is taking place in the QMJHL right now as well in one of their quarterfinal series. The Quebec Remparts (the team Patrick Roy owns and coaches) won the first three games of their series with the Halifax Mooseheads (2013 NHL draft uber-prospect Nathan MacKinnon's team), only to have the Mooseheads storm back and win the last three. Those two teams will play their game seven tonight in Quebec City. A successful 3-0 comeback has happened three previous times in the QMJHL so it hasn't been quite as rare as it has been in the WHL, but it's still always fun to watch.

And better yet, the Mooseheads are being lead by three 16 year olds - their top two playoff scorers are 1995-born MacKinnon and fellow forward Jonathan Drouin (the #1 and #2 overall picks in the 2011 QMJHL midget draft), and their starting goaltender is '95 Zach Fucale, the #11 overall pick in that draft. All three of those players are eligible for the 2013 NHL draft so the Mooseheads should be a team that the NHL scouts will be following closely next season if they aren't already. Seeing 16 year olds play such a huge role in a playoff run can only bode well for the team next year too.

And one last note today, not related to the playoffs though - USA Hockey announced yesterday that they are putting together a Top Prospects kind of game for the top U.S.-born 2012 NHL draft prospects. The game will be played on September 29 in Buffalo and prospects from the three CHL leagues, the USHL, and the NCAA schools will be invited to play in it. 

Very good idea, I say. I question whether many CHL teams want to lose their best 17 year olds for a game or two right after the season starts, but on the other hand, the CHL (or the WHL at least) has never seen fit to   adjust their schedule around the CHL Top Prospects game, so they're already giving up their best 17 year old prospects for a game or so without complaining. Will they do the same for the USA Hockey game?

Oh, and one other question springs to mind: The NCAA considers CHLers to be professionals and NCAA players are not permitted to compete against professionals. How ever will the NCAA reconcile this conflict? Will they simply choose to pretend it's not a problem, like they do when NCAA players compete with and against CHLers in tournaments like the World Juniors or the World U-18s?

Sunday, April 15, 2012

Crank up the interest

After my bellyaching earlier in the 2nd round about the complete lack of drama we had seen in the WHL playoffs so far with so many one-sided series that the playoffs should have been sponsored by Staples ("That was easy!"), it's only fair to point out that the two remaining series in the 2nd round have suddenly become very interesting.

After Portland took a 3-0 lead in their series with Kamloops, the Blazers have responded by winning the last two games to cut Portland's lead to 3-2. Kamloops is halfway to pulling off the "impossible" playoff comeback and they get game six in their building tomorrow.

Portland probably wasn't feeling much pressure in game four and not much more before game five, but all of a sudden the pressure they must be feeling heading into game six must be sky-high. After all, if they lose game six then we're headed to game seven territory and as they say, "anything can happen in a game seven". The pressure to not be remembered as a team who blew the 3-0 series lead will be incredible on them in that case. Way worse than any "ordinary" game seven.

Incidentally, the victimized team in the only successful 3-0 comeback in WHL history? Yes, that would be Portland that blew the series (to Spokane) back in 95-96. Just sayin'.....

And not to forget the other series - Spokane won game four of their series with Tri-City to tie things 2-2 there. Tri-City won game five to go up 3-2 but at least it hasn't been a 4 or 5 games series like so many others these players have been.

Thursday, April 12, 2012

NHL coaching change with WHL implications?

Not much surprise today but the Calgary Flames elected not to bring head coach Brent Sutter back next year. Sutter's contract was up so he wasn't technically "fired" as much as the Flames are simply allowing him to become a coaching free agent, as it were.

The question now though is whether Sutter even has any interest in pursuing another NHL coaching job. Remember, three years ago he left New Jersey for the Flames because he was interested in being closer to his home in central Alberta. He isn't going to get another job any closer than this one was unless he could land in Edmonton.

So I think it's probably more likely that Sutter returns to what he did before the NHL came calling: running the Red Deer Rebels, which he owns. 

If so, what does this mean for current Rebels coach Jesse Wallin? Perhaps Wallin will remain coach while Sutter simply resumes the General Manager duties?

As a side note, former Calgary Hitmen head coach Dave Lowry was also let go by the Flames. In Lowry's only season as head coach of the Hitmen, he coached them to the WHL Final where they lost to Kelowna. Perhaps Lowry is interested in returning to the WHL as a head coach....we'll have to see.

Wednesday, April 11, 2012

Short second round

After a quick and fairly uninteresting first round, it appears we are headed for mostly much of the same in the second round. After last night's games we have three series that sit at 3-0, which means they are pretty much over and will all end in the next game or two in favor of the team currently leading.

So much for parity in the WHL this year, eh? The eight first round series included five sweeps and two 5-game wins. In total the first round required 36 games to complete - that's four more games than the absolute minimum of 32 games to play eight series. Now in the second round we have the possibility of three sweeps out of four series (not saying they'll all be sweeps, but at 3-0 you have to strongly consider the possibility that the next game will make it 4-0).

I guess it's not surprising to me - after all, I did predict three of the series would end in five games and that number is still in play for all three of those predictions. (As an aside, I'm clearly going to have to eat some crow on the Moose Jaw / Medicine Hat series, so it might as well be now: I totally underestimated the Warriors and overestimated the Tigers. Totally.)

But it is a little disappointing. You want the playoffs to have drama. Excitement. Seventh games, the edge-of-your-seat stuff. We haven't really seen any of that, unless you consider the raft of season-ending injuries and suspensions of high-profile players this year to be the stuff of drama. Right now it looks like we're going to get two rounds deep in this year's playoffs without a single series that really makes people sit up and take notice of the WHL. The only hope left in the second round is for Spokane to make a series of it with Tri-City. That one sits at 1-1 with game three tonight, so there is hope there yet.

The good news? The third round looks like it could be a doozy. If the 3-0 leaders all close out their series, and the Americans do beat the Chiefs, then the top two teams in both conferences will have made it to the semifinals.

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Second round picks

After going 7-for-8 in the first round (admittedly there were a lot of no-brainers in the first round so I won't back-pat myself too hard for that success rate), time for some second round picks. These are a little harder, but still not too difficult IMO.

Eastern Conference:

#1 Edmonton vs #6 Brandon:
My pick: Edmonton in five. Yes, Brandon upset the #3 ranked Calgary Hitmen in the first round. But Edmonton is not the Hitmen - they are deeper up front and with more high-end talent, they have better goaltending, and most significantly they are a million times better on the blueline than Calgary was. Brandon is no slouches - they have a hot young goaltender, a couple young stud prospects on the blueline, and the offence of Stone and Ferland. I just have to tick the boxes beside Edmonton as you go through every category in this series and to me that doesn't promise a long series.

#2 Moose Jaw vs #4 Medicine Hat:
My pick: Medicine Hat in seven. Yes, I'm picking the upset. After underestimating the Tigers in the first round (they made short work of the Blades after I predicted a longer series), I won't do that again. Emerson Etem up front and Tyler Bunz in net will give the Warriors problems. The Warriors are a very good team as well - they have a lot of character veterans up front and on the blueline who are going to give Etem and Bunz problems of their own. I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest to see Moose Jaw win in six or seven games either. I'm just playing a hunch here.

Western Conference:

#1 Tri-City vs #5 Spokane:
My pick: Tri-City in five. Yes, the Americans are banged up - they lost two veteran players with season-ending injuries in the first round and a third veteran is questionable right now. They're still a lot better than Spokane though. They still have their league-leading goaltender and they still have their three 100 point forwards. Spokane has lost Brendan Kichton for the season and weren't as good as Tri-City even before losing their own best player. This series might get a little nasty (as befits a good rivalry) but I don't see the Chiefs winning more than a game at the most. Could even be a sweep.


#2 Portland vs #3 Kamloops:
My pick: Portland in five. Yes, five. A quick series despite how close they were in the standings this year. Kamloops will be hurt by losing their captain Chase Schaber to a season-ending injury but I would have picked the Hawks in five anyway. Kamloops' only regulation win over the Hawks this year came with the Hawks missing Sven Bartschi in the NHL, and Portland has simply embarrassing depth at every position. Kamloops might (might!) have an edge in goaltending, but otherwise every offensive threat or blue-chip defenceman that Kamloops can toss out there, Portland has two they can counter with. That kind of depth kills other teams in the playoffs when benches can get a little short.