Estimated 2013 bantam draft order

The WHL's annual bantam draft goes this Thursday. With that in mind, I'm taking a shot at piecing together the draft order, using information from press releases to figure out which picks have been traded and to where.

This is a best-guess attempt only. Based on past attempts, it's probably largely correct but I'll also guarantee you there are some mistakes - missing picks, etc. If you have any corrections, they are welcome, either in the comments section or sent to the email address over on the right hand side of the blog.


First round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
1	Vancouver
2	Regina
3	Prince George
4	Brandon
5	Moose Jaw
6	Lethbridge
7	Everett
8	Seattle
9	Kootenay
10	Medicine Hat
11	Victoria
12	Swift Current
13	Prince Albert
14	Red Deer
15	Tri-City
16	Spokane
17	Brandon	Saskatoon	for Michael Ferland, Jan 10/13
18	Calgary
19	Kamloops
20	Vancouver	Edmonton	in Musil/Geertsen trade, Oct 31/12
21	Kelowna
22	Seattle	Portland	for Marcel Noebels, Jan 10/12

Second round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
23	Vancouver
24	Prince George
25	Brandon
26	FORFEITED	EVT via POR	for signing of Everett G.M. Garry Davidson. Portland forfeits this pick due to player benefit violations, Nov 28/12
27	Seattle
28	Regina
29	Tri-City	MJ via LTH	for Ty Rimmer, May 3/12 (LTH had acquired from MJ in Cam Braes deal, Jan 9/12)
30	Lethbridge
31	Kootenay
32	Medicine Hat
33	Victoria
34	Swift Current
35	Medicine Hat	Prince Albert	in Busenius/Hart deal, Jan 1/13
36	Red Deer
37	Tri-City
38	Spokane
39	Saskatoon
40	Calgary
41	Vancouver	Kamloops	for Vancouver's 2012 2nd round pick (used on Nick Chyzowski), May 3/12
42	Edmonton
43	Kelowna
44	Vancouver	POR via EDM	for Trevor Cheek, Jan 9/13 (EDM had acquired from POR for Cam Reid, Jan 9/12)

Third Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
45	Lethbridge	Vancouver	in Liam Liston deal, Jun 27/12
46	Prince George
47	Brandon
48	Kamloops	Everett	for J.T. Barnett, Nov 14/11
49	Calgary	Seattle	for Brandon Glover, May 8/12
50	Vancouver	Regina	for Luke Fenske, Jan 6/12
51	Everett	Moose Jaw	in Luke Siemens deal, Oct 3/11
52	Lethbridge
53	Kootenay
54	Medicine Hat
55	Victoria
56	Swift Current
57	Vancouver	PA via MJ	in James Henry deal, Jan 10/12 (MJ had acquired from PA for Shane Gwinner, July 6, 2012)
58	Kamloops	Red Deer	for Brady Gaudet, Oct 20/12
59	Tri-City
60	Brandon	Spokane	in Bertaggia/Kalus deal, Jan 10/13
61	Vancouver	Saskatoon	in Nathan Burns deal, Nov 2/12
62	Spokane	Calgary	for Brady Brassart, Aug 18/11
63	Tri-City	Kamloops	in Sam Grist deal, Oct 9/12
64	Edmonton
65	Kelowna
66	FORFEITED	Portland	Portland forfeits this pick due to player benefit violations, Nov 28/12

Fourth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
67	Saskatoon	Vancouver	in Hodder/Morrison deal, Oct 4/11
68	Regina	Prince George	in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10/12
69	Brandon
70	Red Deer	Everett	for Lucas Grayson, Oct 17/11
71	Moose Jaw	Seattle	for Andrew Johnson, Jan 10/13
72	Lethbridge	Regina	for Matt Marantz, Oct 12/11
73	Moose Jaw
74	Lethbridge
75	Victoria	Kootenay	in McKinley/Rintoul deal, July 12/11
76	Everett	Medicine Hat	in Miles Koules deal, Jan 10/12
77	Victoria
78	Kootenay	SC via SAS	for Eric Benoit, Jan 10/13 (SAS had acquired from SC for Brett Lernout, Dec 3/12)
79	Regina	PA via VAN & CGY	in Mayor/Samordny deal, Jan 10/13 (CGY had acquired from VAN in Trevor Cheek deal, Sep 25/12; VAN had acquired in Burns/Hart/Atwal deal, Oct 17/11.)
80	Regina	Red Deer	for Brandon Underwood, Sep 25/12
81	Everett	Tri-City	for Jesse Mychan, Jan 7/12
82	Spokane
83	Victoria	SAS via CGY	in Gogolev/Jones deal, Sep 15/12 (CGY had acquired from SAS for Kyle Schmidt, Sep 15/11)
84	Victoria	Calgary	for Jesse Zgraggen, Jan 7/13
85	Kamloops
86	Edmonton
87	Kelowna
88	Prince Albert	Portland	for Charles Wells, Sep 20/11

Fifth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
89	Kootenay	Vancouver	for John Niebrandt, June 26, 2012
90	Seattle	PG via TRI via PG	in Forsberg/Jacobs deal, Aug 3/12. (PG had acquired from TRI for rights to Brett Connolly, Jan 10/12. TRI had acquired from PG in Owsley/Rimmer deal, Aug 4/11.)
91	Everett	Brandon	in Maguire/Anderson deal, Jul 23/12
92	Everett
93	Swift Current	Seattle	for Kyle Verdino, Aug 11/11
94	Moose Jaw	Regina	in Thomas Frazee deal, Sep 24/10
95	Prince Albert	Moose Jaw	for Tyler Vanscourt, Nov 28/11
96	Kootenay	Lethbridge	for Mike Simpson, Jan 9/13
97	Kootenay
98	Kootenay	Medicine Hat	for Elgin Pearce, Sep 29/12
99	Victoria
100	Swift Current
101	Tri-City	Prince Albert	for Riley Guenther, Jan 9/12.
102	Vancouver	Red Deer	for Wyatt Johnson, Sep 13/12
103	Lethbridge	Tri-City	for Phil Tot, Aug 14/12
104	Prince Albert	SPO via BRN	for Tyler Yaworski, Aug 16/12 (BRN had acquired from SPO for Carter Proft, Nov 1, 2011.)
105	Spokane	Saskatoon	in Valcourt trade, Jan 10/13
106	Calgary
107	Calgary	Kamloops	for Joey Kornelsen, Nov 16/12
108	Brandon	Edmonton	for 2012 1st round import pick, Jun 27, 2012
109	Prince George	KEL via REG	in Marincin/Blidstrand deal, Jan 10/12. Pats had acquired from KEL in Myles Bell deal, Sep 22/11
110	FORFEITED	Portland	Portland forfeits this pick due to player benefit violations, Nov 28/12

Sixth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
111	Moose Jaw	Vancouver	in Brendan Rowinski deal, Nov 11/10
112	Kelowna	Prince George	in Carter Rigby deal, September 2, 2011 (PG has option to defer this pick to 2014)
113	Red Deer	Brandon	for Chad Robinson, Oct 22/12
114	Prince Albert	Everett	for Teal Burns, Nov 12/11
115	Seattle
116	Regina
117	Prince George	Moose Jaw	in swap of 2012 3rd round picks, May 3, 2012
118	Lethbridge
119	Kootenay
120	Medicine Hat
121	Calgary	Victoria	in Gogolev/Jones deal, Sep 15/12. Conditional pick. Not sure of conditions.
122	Seattle	Swift Current	for Chance Lund, Aug 29/12
123	Medicine Hat	Prince Albert	in Tochkin/Bettauer deal, Oct 24/11
124	Red Deer
125	Tri-City
126	Spokane
127	Saskatoon
128	Calgary
129	Kamloops
130	Edmonton
131	Kelowna
132	Lethbridge	POR via VAN	in Liam Liston deal, Jun 27, 2012 (VAN had acquired from POR for Brendan Jensen, Jan 10/12)

Seventh Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
133	Vancouver
134	Moose Jaw	Prince George	in Ehrhardt/Jackson deal, May 3, 2012
135	Brandon
136	Everett
137	Red Deer	Seattle	for Brad Deagle, Oct 5/11.
138	Regina
139	Moose Jaw
140	Lethbridge
141	Kootenay
142	Portland	Medicine Hat	for Cam Lanigan, Oct 17/12
143	Victoria
144	Swift Current
145	Prince Albert
146	Tri-City	Red Deer	for Kaleb Denham, Oct 1/12
147	Seattle	TRI via PG	in Forsberg/Jacobs deal, Aug 3/12. (PG had acquired in Owsley/Rimmer deal, Aug 4/11)
148	Spokane
149	Saskatoon
150	Calgary
151	Kamloops
152	Edmonton
153	Moose Jaw	Kelowna	for Brett Lyon, Jan 10/12
154	Portland

Eighth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
155	Portland	VAN via VIC	for Troy Stecher, Jan 26/13. (VIC had acquired from VAN for Jared Rathjen, Jan 3/13)
156	Prince George
157	Brandon
158	Everett
159	Seattle
160	Regina
161	Moose Jaw
162	Lethbridge
163	Tri-City	Kootenay	for 2012 1st round import pick, Jun 27, 2012
164	Medicine Hat
165	Portland	Victoria	for Troy Stecher, Jan 26/13
166	Vancouver	Swift Current	for ???
167	Prince Albert
168	Red Deer
169	Tri-City
170	Spokane
171	Saskatoon
172	Calgary
173	Kamloops
174	Edmonton
175	Kelowna
176	Portland

Ninth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
177	Vancouver
178	Prince George
179	Brandon
180	Everett
181	Seattle
182	Regina
183	Moose Jaw
184	Lethbridge
185	Kootenay
186	Lethbridge	Medicine Hat	for 2012 2nd round import pick, Jun 27, 2012
187	Victoria
188	Swift Current
189	Prince Albert
190	Red Deer
191	Tri-City
192	Spokane
193	Saskatoon
194	Calgary
195	Kamloops
196	Edmonton
197	Kelowna
198	Portland

Tenth Round:

Ovl	Team	From	Trade details
199	Vancouver
200	Prince George
201	Brandon
202	Everett
203	Edmonton	Seattle	for 2012 2nd round import pick, Jun 27, 2012
204	Regina
205	Moose Jaw
206	Lethbridge
207	Kootenay
208	Medicine Hat
209	Victoria
210	Swift Current
211	Prince Albert
212	Red Deer
213	Tri-City
214	Spokane
215	Vancouver	Saskatoon	for ???
216	Calgary
217	Kamloops
218	Edmonton
219	Kelowna
220	Portland

Second round begins

Well, that was an interesting first round of the playoffs, wasn't it.

By and large, most of the teams that everyone expected to win their first round series did - the higher seed won 7 of the 8 series, with only Saskatoon's upset at the hands of Medicine Hat breaking what would have been a sweep by the higher seeds.

But boy, did some series not go the way most people (myself especially, judging from my first round predictions) expected. I got 7 of the 8 winning teams right but did not pick the correct number of games in any of the eight series. To recap:

Edmonton vs Kootenay - this series went mostly as everyone expected, perhaps the only series in the first round that did. Kootenay won one game (ruining my prediction of a sweep) but it was an OT win in a game in which they were otherwise outplayed.

Saskatoon vs Medicine Hat - one of the shockers of all-time in the WHL playoffs really, the Memorial Cup hosts lose in the first round and not even in a 7 game nailbiter but in a rather one-sided sweep. I'd venture a guess that the number of people who actually predicted a Tigers sweep before the series began is close to zero.

Calgary vs Swift Current - the Broncos did not give the Hitmen quite as tough a series as some (including me) had thought they might, being dispatched in five games. The games were all close (three went to overtime) but Calgary probably never felt they were in danger of losing the series.

Red Deer vs Prince Albert - OK, who thought this would be a sweep? I think a lot of people thought the Rebels would win but it's hard to believe that after such a great start to the year (they were in first place for a while!) the Raiders would go out so easily in the first round of the playoffs.

Portland vs Everett - terrific showing for Everett to win two games considering most predictions called for them to make a quick four game exit. I'd venture that almost nobody predicted anything other than Portland in 4 or 5 here.

Kelowna vs Seattle - Kelowna becomes only the 2nd team in WHL history to win a series after losing the first three games. Like the first time (Spokane over Portland in 95-96) it's fair to say they never should have been down 0-3 in the first place and that winning four in a row is not such an amazing feat when you're 50 regular season points better than your opponent to begin with. You have to give Seattle credit, they hung with the Rockets all series - six of the seven games were one-goal games including five that were decided in overtime. FIVE of seven games in OT!

Kamloops vs Victoria - the Royals gave the Blazers more trouble than some of us, myself included again, thought they would, winning two games and keeping all of the games close until the last one. They're clearly heading in the right direction on the Island....makes you wonder how they might have done if they were healthy and didn't have missing/limping key players.

Spokane vs Tri-City - after so many series that were tougher than expected, here's one where it was actually won in fewer games than many expected. Like the Red Deer / Prince Albert series, I thought it would take more than five games for the Chiefs to beat the Ams but in the end I was wrong about that too.


So with the evidence of my mistaken assumptions in the first round on fresh display, let's take a crack at predicting the second round now....

Eastern Conference:

#1 Edmonton vs #4 Medicine Hat:

The Tigers may have upset the Blades but I have a really hard time seeing them doing the same to the Oil Kings, mainly because the Oil Kings are a better team all-around than the Blades are, but also because the Oil Kings are something the Blades are not: a team with a recent history of success in the post-season. Almost every player (17 in total) on the Oil Kings was also a part of last year's WHL championship team. They know what playoff hockey is, and have had success at it.....something that only 2 or 3 of the players on the Blades could say. The Tigers' chances in this series probably revolve around having ex-Oil King goaltender Cam Lanigan steal four games in net since the Oil Kings have a clear advantage in every area (offence, defence, goaltending, experience) otherwise.

Prediction: Edmonton in five.

#2 Calgary vs #3 Red Deer:

This might be the best series of the second round. These two teams match up very well and played six close games in the regular season - Calgary won the season series 4-2 but only one game was decided by two goals, the other five all were one-goal games. The Hitmen have a big edge offensively and a smaller edge on defence, plus small age, size, and experience advantages. But Red Deer's big weapon is the most important of all and that's in net where Patrik Bartosak is the best goaltender in the WHL. The Hitmen need to figure him out in order to win - something Prince Albert couldn't do to him. The Hitmen did score 10 goals on Bartosak in the 3 regular season meetings he played in, so they just need to do that again in the playoffs.

Prediction: Calgary in six. Seven wouldn't surprise me either.


Western Conference:

#1 Portland vs #4 Spokane:

It's not really accurate to say Portland "struggled" with Everett. Despite losing two of the games, Portland really did dominate Everett in the series and the reason Everett won two games can be summed up in four letters: L, O, T, and Z. In six games Portland outshot Everett 257 - 109 (!!!) and outscored them 32-16 and pretty simply, the four games where L, O, T, and Z didn't steal the win, Everett L, O, S, and T.

In the regular season Portland took 7 of 9 games from Spokane and outscored them 45 - 20 in the process so it's fair to say Spokane is in the same situation Everett was in: they need goaltender Eric Williams to steal them some games (and he struggled a few times against Portland this year - ending with a 4.34 GAA, .884 sv% against the Winterhawks) or it's just not going to happen for them.

Prediction: Portland in six. Five games wouldn't surprise me either.


#2 Kelowna vs #3 Kamloops:

Three weeks ago I would have said this might be a barn-burner of a series, the #2 overall team in the league against the #4 overall team. But that #2 overall team (Kelowna) has sprung a few leaks since then and has six regulars sidelined with injuries and not expected to play in this series. They've also just wrapped up a tough, draining series with Seattle which required them to play overtime five times and fend off elimination four times. Kamloops has no major injuries and have had a few days to rest since concluding their first round series. I have to go with the "underdog" in this one.

Prediction: Kamloops in six.