Monday, August 10, 2009

Most successful franchises?

Just something for fun here, in response to a question that was posed to me during the flurry of draft reviews.....who are the most successful WHL teams of the last 5 years? Last 10 years?

For the purposes of this, I have defined "success" by the number of playoff series won. I think most fans would agree that a 100 point regular season with a first round exit is not a successful season, so we're going to define success as playoff success here....

So, a chart with the number of playoff series wins in each of the last 5 seasons, plus total series wins, times the team missed the playoffs, times they made it to the finals, times they won the WHL title, and times they won the Memorial Cup:

(a "0" means the team made the playoffs but went out in the 1st round; a "--" means they missed the playoffs; an "n/a" means the team did not play that season)

08-0907-0806-0705-0604-05TotalMissedFinalsWHL ChampMem Cup
Vancouver21340100211
Kelowna40--1491220
Calgary3221190100
Medicine Hat1042180110
Brandon2010360100
Spokane140----52111
Everett0012140000
Lethbridge13--0041100
Kootenay0100230000
Seattle0110130000
Moose Jaw--0--3032100
Tri-City1200030000
Prince George0--20--22000
Prince Albert----0--223000
Regina--010--12000
Swift Current0100--11000
Portland------1013000
Saskatoon0----1012000
Edmonton0--n/an/an/a01000
Chilliwack--00n/an/a01000
Red Deer----0--003000
Kamloops000--001000


One thing I notice right away is that there's only six teams that have averaged one playoff win per year over the last five years - and there's only one team in the entire WHL that has actually won at least one playoff round each of the last five years, and that is Calgary. Although, they are also one of only two teams in that top six who have not won a WHL title in that time, so that has to be a strike against them when compared to the other top teams.

Then there's Kelowna, who have two WHL titles to their credit in the last 5 years, but also missed the playoffs once and went out in the first round once. When they're good, they're good, and when they're bad....

Vancouver tops the list with 10 wins in 5 years, and they also have been fairly consistent in the last four years at least, with two trips to the WHL finals, one WHL title, and one Memorial Cup win so they probably belong on the top there.

Then there's the bottom of the list....we'll give Chilliwack and Edmonton a break since they are fairly new teams yet, but Red Deer and Kamloops - two franchises with a history of success in the past - have not won a single playoff round in those five years. Some other franchises who have had success in the past too - Portland & Swift Current - are also languishing near the bottom with only one playoff win in the last five years.

The same chart again now, with the next five years added and the totals expanded to total all ten years:

03-0402-0301-0200-0199-00TotalMissedFinalsWHL ChampMem Cup
Kelowna24200171331
Kootenay01414130221
Medicine Hat41------133220
Red Deer23340123311
Spokane01123122111
Calgary00012120100
Vancouver10--n/an/a111211
Brandon1220--111100
Seattle--211181000
Everett3n/an/an/an/a70100
Moose Jaw1110062100
Swift Current0012151000
Lethbridge----00--44100
Portland0003--44100
Prince George--000243000
Tri-City1--0--042000
Prince Albert0------026000
Saskatoon--00--124000
Regina0000012000
Chilliwackn/an/an/an/an/a01000
Edmontonn/an/an/an/an/a01000
Kamloops0000001000

Certainly Kelowna is distancing themselves from the pack when you go back further and further. 17 playoff series wins in 10 years, a whole four more than the next-best teams. Add in three WHL championships and one Memorial Cup and I think we have a clear winner in the debate over the most successful WHL team of the last decade.

And I hate to jump on Kamloops, but we also have a clear loser with zero playoff wins in ten years - and the only team with zero wins to have played all ten seasons. Some other teams struggling there too for sure with only 1 or 2 playoff wins total in the last decade.

If nothing else, this should be good for some debate, either in the comments or anywhere else it ends up being reposted....

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good work on this Alan. Just one point on this, the current stats penalize teams in the east, as 4 teams don't make the playoffs vs 2 in the west.

Anonymous said...

Nothing against Kelowna or Van...but both their Mem Cups came as hosts...(Med Hat won the league each of those years)...Teams with the most success seemed to have great drafts or turned those draft picks into great trades...ex: Jerrid Sauer and Michael Sauer (no relation) to the Tigers...

Anonymous said...

It might be interesting if you averaged the number of series wins with the amount of years played. Everett, Vancouver, Chilliwack, and Edmonton are at a disadvantage with just a total win number. (Vancouver and Everett would both move up). Might be nice to see total game wins also.

Larry

John said...

I noticed that Spokane went 4 seasons without winning a playoff series before their run to the Memorial Cup. Do you happen to know if that's the longest stretch that any team has gone in the WHL without winning a playoff series before going on to win the Memorial Cup?