Friday, May 6, 2011

Friday notes

One more stat category I missed in that review of the draft picks (below): what month were the most players born in? I think we already know the answer to this, but here's the math:

232 players picked. Of those, the numbers by birth month:

January: 41 (17.7%)
February: 36 (15.5%)
March: 32 (13.8%)
April: 34 (14.7%)
May: 25 (10.8%)
June: 13 (5.6%)
July: 13 (5.6%)
August: 14 (6.0%)
September: 5 (2.2%)
October: 10 (4.3%)
November: 4 (1.7%)
December: 5 (2.2%)

Overall, 62% of draft picks were born in the first four months (33%) of the year 1996. Assuming that births of baby boys were evenly spread over the 12 months of the year, you can see what a disadvantage the boys born in the last third of the year (10.3% of picks) had against the bigger, older boys from the early months.

This happens every year.

Second bit of business today, I need to get in a prediction for the WHL title series.....

This is a tough series to predict, which is exactly what you want to see of course. On paper, Portland is the better team than the Ice, but then, on paper the Blades were better than the Ice too and look what happened to them. I have to put some stock in how red-hot the Ice are because I think there's a lot of value in chemistry and peaking at the right time, which Kootenay is. So, I have to go with them....at the start of the year I would have said I was crazy for doing this. But I am: Kootenay in six.

2 comments:

Manimal said...

Hey Alan! Thanks for your coverage on the draft. Was there any other trade during the draft than the Regina/Moose Jaw?

Anonymous said...

This is awesome stuff. Just the stats please! Keep up the good work.

When will you begin to work on the protected listed stats?

Again, great work!